29 July 2020
According to the observation conducted on 23 July, the water of Ayeyawady river has exceeded the danger level in Shwegu reaching about six inches higher than the danger level, the Department of Meteorology and Hydrology reported.
The continual rainfall in upper Myanmar has caused the water of Ayeyawady river to rise in some towns and remain at the danger level, said Meteorologist U Chit Kyaw.
Meteorologist U Chit Kyaw, Former Retired Director of DMH, said, “The current monsoon is weak, but rain is pouring down in the regions and states in lower Myanmar, especially in Rakhine, Mon and Kayin states and Taninthayi region. The nature of the rain is that there is rain in lower Myanmar. If the rain goes down from the upper place, it is likely to cause floods. It is like to cause floods in Zalun, Hinthada, Myanaung, Kyangin and Seiktha from Ayeyawady region at the end of this month. If the water goes down from the upper place and rainfall goes on, there will be more floods. Now it is raining in lower Myanmar, but it isn’t in upper Myanmar. If the rain is going to fall in upper Myanmar, the tide will be on the rise.”
At the present time, the rainfall is not much in upper Myanmar, but there are moving rain clouds coming from China and it is likely to cause continuous rainfall and so it will have to be monitored.
The cattle have been evacuated to the safer place in Shwegu where the rising water of Ayeyawady river goes above the danger level. The preparedness measures have been planned to carry out rescue measures in case of the flash flood, said U Tin Oo Yu, Pyithu Hluttaw representative from Shwegu Township Constituency 1.
U Tin Oo Yu, Pyithu Hluttaw representative from Shwegu Township Constituency 1, said, “The cattle from the low-lying areas have been relocated in the safe places in advance to prevent them from being affected by the possible flood. When the water from the danger level goes down back, non-long-legged houses are found to have submerged in the flood water. The flood victims are sheltered at the designated monasteries and religious structures. There is no severe flood here. Crop plantations are seen in the arable lands on the high place of inland. Most of the plantations are submerged. But we have planned preparedness measures and we always keep in touch with relevant authorities such as administration and fire services. We will have to evacuate those living near the bank of the river to the safe place in time, for this we have make plans in advance.”
The rising water in Ayeyawady river has not yet exceeded the bank level in Ayeyawady region although now is near the end of July, said farmer U Thein Aung from Danubyu township.
U Thein Aung, the farmer from Danubyu township of Ayeyawady region, said, “Now is going to end July. Ayeyawady region doesn’t see the water level to have not reached the designated level yet. If the water floods the sandbank, the soil becomes fertile for cultivation. If the rain and the water are appropriate, it will be better. If the water does not flood the sandbank, the soil is not fertile for cultivation. If the water excessively floods the sandbank, the embankment is likely to collapse. Now, in Danubyu, the river water is not much. It is different every year. The water exceeds the danger level in upper Myanmar every year. For example, if the river water extremely rises in Thabeikkyin and Katha, it is likely to cause the risk of flood in our place. But it can be said this year is the lowest level of water in the river within forty or fifty years.”
Now is the flood time and there may be two types of floods during July and August. It is likely to cause floods and heavy rain in the rivers and creeks. Sudden floods and landslides may take place on hilly regions, meteorologist U Chit Kyaw warned.
Meteorologist U Chit Kyaw, Former Retired Director of DMH, said, “We will have to pay attention to three kinds of risks such as heavy rain, flood and sudden flash flood in Kachin, upper Sagaing, Chin, Rakhine, Kayin, Mon and Taninthayi during July and August. There will be sudden flash flood and landslides.”
Min Tun (Oakkyin) and Ye Naing (Laukkai)